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John Gunther vs Allan Zuniga

The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
John Gunther
Allan Zuniga
29% 71%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
33
Age
Δ 6y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Gunther: 27 sig / 8 TD · Zuniga: 59 sig / 0 TD
John Gunther
Allan Zuniga
35
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
75
42
Total strikes landed
57
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
76s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

John Gunther

"The Machine"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Allan Zuniga

"Tigre"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26