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Michael Trizano vs Joe Giannetti

The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Michael Trizano
Joe Giannetti
58% 42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
26
Age
Δ 4y
23

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Trizano: 42 sig / 0 TD · Giannetti: 29 sig / 1 TD
Michael Trizano
Joe Giannetti
36
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
76
55
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Michael Trizano

"The Lone Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Joe Giannetti

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23