Back to UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Pedro Munhoz vs Brett Johns

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 ·Staples Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Brett Johns
29% 71%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
32
Age
Δ 5y
26
20-11
Career record
Δ 20 pp
17-3
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munhoz: 117 sig / 0 TD · Johns: 73 sig / 0 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Brett Johns
39
Sig strikes landed
42
104
Sig strikes attempted
101
63
Total strikes landed
59
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.70
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
242s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Pedro Munhoz

"The Young Punisher"
20-11 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 9 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
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W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1

Brett Johns

"The Pikey"
17-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—