Back to UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ricky Simon vs Montel Jackson

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 ·Staples Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ricky Simon
Montel Jackson
63% 37%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Simon: 25 sig / 7 TD · Jackson: 42 sig / 2 TD
Ricky Simon
Montel Jackson
35
Sig strikes landed
34
86
Sig strikes attempted
76
55
Total strikes landed
46
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
190s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ricky Simon

23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
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Blue corner

Montel Jackson

"Quik"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26