🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Demetrious Johnson vs Henry Cejudo
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
·Staples Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Demetrious Johnson
Henry Cejudo
89%
11%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
28-3-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
17-6
W8
Current streak
W2
17
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Johnson: 81 sig / 1 TD ·
Cejudo: 51 sig / 3 TD
Demetrious Johnson
Henry Cejudo
88
Sig strikes landed
46
147
Sig strikes attempted
125
136
Total strikes landed
66
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.7
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
312s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
28-3-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
17 fights · 15-1
Last 5
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Henry Cejudo
"Triple C"
17-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—