Main
Women's Strawweight
Polyana Viana vs JJ Aldrich
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2
·Staples Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Polyana Viana
JJ Aldrich
50%
50%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
14-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Viana: 46 sig / 1 TD ·
Aldrich: 40 sig / 0 TD
Polyana Viana
JJ Aldrich
41
Sig strikes landed
34
85
Sig strikes attempted
88
56
Total strikes landed
58
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Polyana Viana
"Dama de Ferro"
14-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
Blue corner
W2
JJ Aldrich
16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—