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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Gillian Robertson vs Molly McCann

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till ·Echo Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Molly McCann
70% 30%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
62"
23
Age
Δ 5y
28
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Robertson: 17 sig / 2 TD · McCann: 10 sig / 0 TD
Gillian Robertson
Molly McCann
33
Sig strikes landed
26
85
Sig strikes attempted
59
62
Total strikes landed
45
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
184s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
29%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gillian Robertson

"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
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Blue corner

Molly McCann

"Meatball"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28