Prelims1
Welterweight
Brad Scott vs Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
·Echo Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brad Scott
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
43%
57%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Scott: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Pedersoli Jr.: 67 sig / 3 TD
Brad Scott
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
36
Sig strikes landed
39
79
Sig strikes attempted
79
53
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
153s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Scott
"Bear"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
Carlo Pedersoli Jr.
"Semento"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25