Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Craig White
78%
22%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
W1
Current streak
—
18
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Magny: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
White: 6 sig / 0 TD
Neil Magny
Craig White
52
Sig strikes landed
40
103
Sig strikes attempted
86
68
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
18 fights · 13-5
Last 5
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
Blue corner
Craig White
"The Thundercat"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28