Prelims1
Welterweight
Zak Cummings vs Michel Prazeres
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
·Movistar Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Zak Cummings
Michel Prazeres
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 8"
68"
34
Age
Δ 3y
37
26-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
27-4
W2
Current streak
W6
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cummings: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Prazeres: 30 sig / 3 TD
Zak Cummings
Michel Prazeres
29
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
75
45
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
81s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Zak Cummings
26-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
Blue corner
W6
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—