Main
Light Heavyweight
Jared Cannonier vs Dominick Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
·Movistar Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Dominick Reyes
47%
53%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
77"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
18-10
Career record
Δ 13 pp
17-5
L1
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cannonier: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Reyes: 20 sig / 0 TD
Jared Cannonier
Dominick Reyes
18
Sig strikes landed
30
32
Sig strikes attempted
61
27
Total strikes landed
35
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
58s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
Blue corner
W2
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
17-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—