Back to UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Henry Briones vs Frankie Saenz

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman ·Movistar Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Henry Briones
Frankie Saenz
60% 40%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
66"
38
Age
Δ 0y
38
16-9-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-7
L3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Briones: 44 sig / 0 TD · Saenz: 66 sig / 4 TD
Henry Briones
Frankie Saenz
46
Sig strikes landed
48
106
Sig strikes attempted
98
63
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
68s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Henry Briones

"Bure"
16-9-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
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Blue corner
W1

Frankie Saenz

14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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L UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
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L UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—