Prelims2
Featherweight
Enrique Barzola vs Brandon Davis
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
·Movistar Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Enrique Barzola
Brandon Davis
75%
25%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
18-5-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-10
W3
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barzola: 51 sig / 10 TD ·
Davis: 29 sig / 0 TD
Enrique Barzola
Brandon Davis
65
Sig strikes landed
56
148
Sig strikes attempted
136
90
Total strikes landed
63
3.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
7.9
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
271s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Enrique Barzola
"El Fuerte"
18-5-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
Blue corner
W1
Brandon Davis
"Killer B"
15-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—