Prelims2
Lightweight
Claudio Puelles vs Felipe Silva
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
·Movistar Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Claudio Puelles
Felipe Silva
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
22
Age
Δ 12y
34
13-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
8-3
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Puelles: 16 sig / 2 TD ·
Silva: 70 sig / 1 TD
Claudio Puelles
Felipe Silva
30
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
80
37
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Claudio Puelles
"Prince of Peru"
13-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Felipe Silva
8-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—