Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Veronica Hardy
Andrea Lee
71%
29%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
23
Age
Δ 7y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hardy: 24 sig / 1 TD ·
Lee: 56 sig / 3 TD
Veronica Hardy
Andrea Lee
28
Sig strikes landed
32
41
Sig strikes attempted
45
47
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
179s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Veronica Hardy
10-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
Blue corner
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29