Back to UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Sijara Eubanks vs Lauren Murphy

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes ·Adirondack Bank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Sijara Eubanks
Lauren Murphy
39% 61%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Eubanks: 75 sig / 2 TD · Murphy: 49 sig / 0 TD
Sijara Eubanks
Lauren Murphy
45
Sig strikes landed
55
108
Sig strikes attempted
125
66
Total strikes landed
88
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
76s
Control time
279s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sijara Eubanks

"SarJ"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
W1

Lauren Murphy

"Lucky"
17-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
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