Main
Heavyweight
Walt Harris vs Daniel Spitz
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
·Adirondack Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Walt Harris
Daniel Spitz
45%
55%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 5"
82"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
13-11
Career record
Δ 16 pp
7-3
L2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Harris: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Spitz: 17 sig / 0 TD
Walt Harris
Daniel Spitz
26
Sig strikes landed
25
48
Sig strikes attempted
53
39
Total strikes landed
29
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
39s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
74%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Walt Harris
"The Big Ticket"
13-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
Daniel Spitz
7-3
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—