Prelims1
Welterweight
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs Sean Strickland
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Sean Strickland
28%
72%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
26-10-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
32-7
W4
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Zaleski dos Santos: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Strickland: 14 sig / 0 TD
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Sean Strickland
49
Sig strikes landed
66
138
Sig strikes attempted
158
70
Total strikes landed
84
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
26-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
Blue corner
W1
Sean Strickland
32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—