Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Davi Ramos
Nick Hein
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
11-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
15-5
W1
Current streak
W3
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Hein: 1 sig / 0 TD
Davi Ramos
Nick Hein
40
Sig strikes landed
44
107
Sig strikes attempted
104
52
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Davi Ramos
"Tasmanian Devil"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W3
Nick Hein
"Sergeant"
15-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
—