Main
Women's Strawweight
Mackenzie Dern vs Amanda Cooper
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mackenzie Dern
Amanda Cooper
85%
15%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
64"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
17-5
Career record
Δ 33 pp
4-5
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Dern: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Cooper: 6 sig / 0 TD
Mackenzie Dern
Amanda Cooper
45
Sig strikes landed
29
87
Sig strikes attempted
77
83
Total strikes landed
55
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.1
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
262s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mackenzie Dern
17-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
Blue corner
W1
Amanda Cooper
"ABC"
4-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—