Prelims1
Featherweight
Ricardo Lamas vs Mirsad Bektic
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ricardo Lamas
Mirsad Bektic
46%
54%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
36
Age
Δ 9y
27
20-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-4
L1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lamas: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Bektic: 31 sig / 2 TD
Ricardo Lamas
Mirsad Bektic
28
Sig strikes landed
33
59
Sig strikes attempted
74
43
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
100s
Control time
238s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
Blue corner
W1
Mirsad Bektic
14-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—