Prelims1
Heavyweight
Rashad Coulter vs Chris de la Rocha
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rashad Coulter
Chris de la Rocha
65%
35%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
36
Age
Δ 3y
39
9-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
5-4
L2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Coulter: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
de la Rocha: 40 sig / 3 TD
Rashad Coulter
Chris de la Rocha
33
Sig strikes landed
26
47
Sig strikes attempted
50
51
Total strikes landed
47
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
121s
Control time
173s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Rashad Coulter
"Daywalker"
9-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
L2
Chris de la Rocha
5-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—