Main
Women's Featherweight
Holly Holm vs Megan Anderson
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Megan Anderson
49%
51%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
37
Age
Δ 8y
28
L1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holm: 47 sig / 4 TD ·
Anderson: 26 sig / 0 TD
Holly Holm
Megan Anderson
41
Sig strikes landed
50
103
Sig strikes attempted
109
72
Total strikes landed
74
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
202s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
Megan Anderson
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28