Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Corey Anderson vs Patrick Cummins
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
·Boardwalk Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Corey Anderson
Patrick Cummins
81%
19%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 9y
37
14-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-7
L2
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Anderson: 64 sig / 12 TD ·
Cummins: 31 sig / 0 TD
Corey Anderson
Patrick Cummins
58
Sig strikes landed
45
119
Sig strikes attempted
102
90
Total strikes landed
65
3.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.3
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
219s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W2
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
11-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—