Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Uriah Hall
Paulo Costa
34%
66%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
19-11
Career record
Δ 18 pp
17-4
W1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hall: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Costa: 75 sig / 0 TD
Uriah Hall
Paulo Costa
35
Sig strikes landed
45
66
Sig strikes attempted
81
39
Total strikes landed
49
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
39s
Control time
71s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Uriah Hall
"Prime Time"
19-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
Blue corner
W3
Paulo Costa
"The Eraser"
17-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—