Main
Light Heavyweight
Gokhan Saki vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gokhan Saki
Khalil Rountree Jr.
33%
67%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
35
Age
Δ 6y
28
2-2
Career record
Δ 18 pp
15-7
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Saki: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Rountree Jr.: 9 sig / 0 TD
Gokhan Saki
Khalil Rountree Jr.
25
Sig strikes landed
27
52
Sig strikes attempted
66
37
Total strikes landed
30
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
-4s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gokhan Saki
"The Rebel"
2-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
Blue corner
W2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
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