Back to UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Prelims1 Welterweight

Muslim Salikhov vs Ricky Rainey

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje ·Gila River Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Muslim Salikhov
Ricky Rainey
75% 25%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 7"
77"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Salikhov: 25 sig / 0 TD · Rainey: 19 sig / 0 TD
Muslim Salikhov
Ricky Rainey
28
Sig strikes landed
34
66
Sig strikes attempted
69
38
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"
22-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
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Blue corner

Ricky Rainey

"The Sniper"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
35