Prelims2
Welterweight
Dhiego Lima vs Yushin Okami
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
·Gila River Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dhiego Lima
Yushin Okami
30%
70%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 8y
37
17-10
Career record
Δ 9 pp
34-13
L3
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lima: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Okami: 15 sig / 6 TD
Dhiego Lima
Yushin Okami
22
Sig strikes landed
22
37
Sig strikes attempted
46
34
Total strikes landed
45
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
49s
Control time
259s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Dhiego Lima
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
L2
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
34-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—