Main
Featherweight
Zabit Magomedsharipov vs Kyle Bochniak
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Kyle Bochniak
92%
8%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
19-1
Career record
Δ 31 pp
9-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Magomedsharipov: 97 sig / 5 TD ·
Bochniak: 43 sig / 0 TD
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Kyle Bochniak
50
Sig strikes landed
19
101
Sig strikes attempted
61
71
Total strikes landed
30
3.7
Takedowns landed
0.1
6.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
342s
Control time
13s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Zabit Magomedsharipov
19-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
W1
Kyle Bochniak
"Killer B"
9-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—