🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Rose Namajunas vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rose Namajunas
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
59%
41%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
16-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-6
W2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Namajunas: 105 sig / 1 TD ·
Jedrzejczyk: 145 sig / 0 TD
Rose Namajunas
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
69
Sig strikes landed
110
175
Sig strikes attempted
220
93
Total strikes landed
117
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
211s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
16-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
16-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
L
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—