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Prelims1 Featherweight

Danny Henry vs Hakeem Dawodu

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov ·The O2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Danny Henry
Hakeem Dawodu
49% 51%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Henry: 2 sig / 0 TD · Dawodu: 3 sig / 0 TD
Danny Henry
Hakeem Dawodu
49
Sig strikes landed
39
99
Sig strikes attempted
82
74
Total strikes landed
64
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
214s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Danny Henry

"The Hatchet"
13-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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Blue corner

Hakeem Dawodu

"Mean"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27