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Prelims1 Welterweight

Danny Roberts vs Oliver Enkamp

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Danny Roberts
Oliver Enkamp
66% 34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
18-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
7-3
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Roberts: 4 sig / 0 TD · Enkamp: 7 sig / 0 TD
Danny Roberts
Oliver Enkamp
50
Sig strikes landed
42
105
Sig strikes attempted
102
58
Total strikes landed
46
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Danny Roberts

"Hot Chocolate"
18-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
L UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
W UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
Blue corner
L1

Oliver Enkamp

7-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…