Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Maryna Moroz vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Maryna Moroz
Angela Hill
70%
30%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
11-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
19-17
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moroz: 84 sig / 0 TD ·
Hill: 114 sig / 1 TD
Maryna Moroz
Angela Hill
61
Sig strikes landed
60
188
Sig strikes attempted
124
82
Total strikes landed
78
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
123s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
11-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
Blue corner
L1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—