Prelims1
Welterweight
Ben Saunders vs Alan Jouban
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ben Saunders
Alan Jouban
55%
45%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
22-14-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
17-8
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saunders: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Jouban: 78 sig / 0 TD
Ben Saunders
Alan Jouban
36
Sig strikes landed
40
85
Sig strikes attempted
80
40
Total strikes landed
45
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
34s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
22-14-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
L2
Alan Jouban
"Brahma"
17-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—