Prelims2
Bantamweight
Rani Yahya vs Russell Doane
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Russell Doane
72%
28%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-8
W1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Yahya: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Doane: 2 sig / 1 TD
Rani Yahya
Russell Doane
27
Sig strikes landed
17
55
Sig strikes attempted
44
62
Total strikes landed
32
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
242s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
13 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
Blue corner
W1
Russell Doane
16-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—