Main
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Ilir Latifi
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Ilir Latifi
63%
37%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
28-18
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-9
W3
Current streak
W1
15
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Saint Preux: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Latifi: 25 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Ilir Latifi
23
Sig strikes landed
25
48
Sig strikes attempted
52
32
Total strikes landed
35
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
38s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ovince Saint Preux
28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
W1
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
18-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—