Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mike Perry
Max Griffin
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
76"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
14-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-14
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Perry: 45 sig / 1 TD ·
Griffin: 78 sig / 0 TD
Mike Perry
Max Griffin
38
Sig strikes landed
42
92
Sig strikes attempted
101
44
Total strikes landed
55
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
28s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
14-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
Blue corner
L1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—