Main
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Tecia Pennington
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Tecia Pennington
71%
29%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
60"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
27-15
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-8
W1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 92 sig / 10 TD ·
Pennington: 69 sig / 2 TD
Jessica Andrade
Tecia Pennington
73
Sig strikes landed
58
152
Sig strikes attempted
135
103
Total strikes landed
76
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
194s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
27-15
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
16-8
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—