Prelims2
Welterweight
Joshua Burkman vs Alex Morono
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
·Frank Erwin Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joshua Burkman
Alex Morono
39%
61%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
38
Age
Δ 10y
28
28-17
Career record
Δ 1 pp
24-14
L4
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Burkman: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Morono: 7 sig / 0 TD
Joshua Burkman
Alex Morono
37
Sig strikes landed
48
93
Sig strikes attempted
118
48
Total strikes landed
69
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
8 fights · 1-6
Last 5
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
24-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—