Back to UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Prelims2 Middleweight

Oskar Piechota vs Tim Williams

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros ·Frank Erwin Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Oskar Piechota
Tim Williams
56% 44%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Piechota: 17 sig / 0 TD · Williams: 8 sig / 0 TD
Oskar Piechota
Tim Williams
44
Sig strikes landed
34
84
Sig strikes attempted
73
58
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Oskar Piechota

"Imadlo"
12-3-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
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Blue corner

Tim Williams

"The South Jersey Strangler"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32