Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Sarah Moras vs Lucie Pudilova
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
·Frank Erwin Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sarah Moras
Lucie Pudilova
30%
70%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
7-8
Career record
Δ 13 pp
15-10
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moras: 43 sig / 2 TD ·
Pudilova: 75 sig / 0 TD
Sarah Moras
Lucie Pudilova
46
Sig strikes landed
41
100
Sig strikes attempted
104
63
Total strikes landed
71
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
146s
Control time
194s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
7-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Lucie Pudilova
15-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—