Main
Lightweight
James Vick vs Francisco Trinaldo
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
·Frank Erwin Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
James Vick
Francisco Trinaldo
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
31
Age
Δ 8y
40
14-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
29-9
W3
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vick: 68 sig / 1 TD ·
Trinaldo: 26 sig / 3 TD
James Vick
Francisco Trinaldo
42
Sig strikes landed
36
110
Sig strikes attempted
71
55
Total strikes landed
49
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
34s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
James Vick
"The Texecutioner"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
Blue corner
W1
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
29-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
16 fights · 12-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—