Prelims1
Flyweight
Robert Sanchez vs Joby Sanchez
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
·Frank Erwin Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Robert Sanchez
Joby Sanchez
41%
59%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
8-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Sanchez: 2 sig / 3 TD ·
Sanchez: 1 sig / 0 TD
Robert Sanchez
Joby Sanchez
32
Sig strikes landed
37
86
Sig strikes attempted
86
65
Total strikes landed
55
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
206s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Robert Sanchez
"Littlefury"
8-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
L1
Joby Sanchez
11-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—