Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mike Pyle
Zak Ottow
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
42
Age
Δ 11y
31
27-15-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-8
L2
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pyle: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Ottow: 22 sig / 0 TD
Mike Pyle
Zak Ottow
36
Sig strikes landed
37
89
Sig strikes attempted
83
48
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
85s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27-15-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
16 fights · 9-7
Last 5
L
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
Blue corner
L1
Zak Ottow
"The Barbarian"
17-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—