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Main Bantamweight

Sean O'Malley vs Andre Soukhamthath

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sean O'Malley
Andre Soukhamthath
86% 14%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
23
Age
Δ 6y
29
20-3
Career record
Δ 23 pp
14-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
O'Malley: 63 sig / 0 TD · Soukhamthath: 25 sig / 4 TD
Sean O'Malley
Andre Soukhamthath
32
Sig strikes landed
55
102
Sig strikes attempted
118
62
Total strikes landed
64
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
151s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sean O'Malley

"Suga"
20-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
Blue corner
W1

Andre Soukhamthath

"The Asian Sensation"
14-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2