Prelims1
Featherweight
Alexander Volkanovski vs Jeremy Kennedy
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkanovski
Jeremy Kennedy
81%
19%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
29-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
12-1
W3
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Volkanovski: 73 sig / 2 TD ·
Kennedy: 8 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkanovski
Jeremy Kennedy
45
Sig strikes landed
29
77
Sig strikes attempted
69
77
Total strikes landed
44
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
226s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
29-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Jeremy Kennedy
"JBC"
12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—