Main
Bantamweight
Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Marlon Vera
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
·Arena Guilherme Paraense (Mangueirinho)
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Marlon Vera
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
33
Age
Δ 7y
25
29-8
Career record
Δ 16 pp
23-13-1
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva de Andrade: 97 sig / 1 TD ·
Vera: 72 sig / 0 TD
Douglas Silva de Andrade
Marlon Vera
43
Sig strikes landed
44
102
Sig strikes attempted
110
57
Total strikes landed
54
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
84s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
L1
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—