Main
Lightweight
Michel Prazeres vs Desmond Green
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
·Arena Guilherme Paraense (Mangueirinho)
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michel Prazeres
Desmond Green
66%
34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
27-4
Career record
Δ 15 pp
23-9
W5
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Prazeres: 36 sig / 3 TD ·
Green: 33 sig / 3 TD
Michel Prazeres
Desmond Green
38
Sig strikes landed
35
91
Sig strikes attempted
92
62
Total strikes landed
58
3.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
8.7
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
293s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
27-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
Blue corner
L1
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
23-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—