Main
Women's Flyweight
Valentina Shevchenko vs Priscila Cachoeira
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
·Arena Guilherme Paraense (Mangueirinho)
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Valentina Shevchenko
Priscila Cachoeira
88%
12%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Shevchenko: 95 sig / 2 TD ·
Cachoeira: 2 sig / 0 TD
Valentina Shevchenko
Priscila Cachoeira
50
Sig strikes landed
32
93
Sig strikes attempted
73
85
Total strikes landed
56
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
218s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26-5-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
Priscila Cachoeira
"Zombie Girl"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30