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Main Middleweight

Lyoto Machida vs Eryk Anders

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders ·Arena Guilherme Paraense (Mangueirinho)
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Lyoto Machida
Eryk Anders
58% 42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
40
Age
Δ 9y
31
24-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-9
L3
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Machida: 62 sig / 0 TD · Anders: 32 sig / 3 TD
Lyoto Machida
Eryk Anders
24
Sig strikes landed
34
60
Sig strikes attempted
81
38
Total strikes landed
64
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
69s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Lyoto Machida

"The Dragon"
24-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database 14 fights · 6-8
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
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L UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
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W UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
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L UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
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Blue corner
W2

Eryk Anders

"Ya Boi"
19-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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W UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
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